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For Immediate Release


Columbus, OH - January 2007

Demotech, Inc. is pleased to present our thoughts on how 2007 is likely to unfold.


Our thoughts for 2007 are:



  Direct Premium Written (000's) Percent Change
Jur. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
(Est.)
2007
(Proj.)
2004
-05
2005
-06
2006
-07
2005
-07
AL $73,103 $94,870 $91,706 $103,229 $107,428 $95,000 12.6% 4.1% -11.6% -8.0%
AK $34,709 $47,017 $34,714 $39,409 $36,594 $34,800 13.5% -7.1% -4.9% -11.7%
AZ $375,034 $467,728 $511,699 $703,351 $671,879 $630,000 37.5% -4.5% -6.2% -10.4%
AR $35,948 $41,624 $47,443 $50,891 $58,171 $55,000 7.3% 14.3% -5.5% 8.1%
CA $2,551,409 $3,336,797 $3,068,170 $3,198,269 $2,633,570 $2,400,000 4.2% -17.7% -8.9% -25.0%
CO $344,374 $415,207 $338,452 $341,762 $331,191 $330,000 1.0% -3.1% -0.4% -3.4%
CT $142,754 $191,676 $173,792 $185,020 $170,234 $170,000 6.5% -8.0% -0.1% -8.1%
DE $23,563 $33,388 $45,141 $57,864 $71,590 $65,000 28.2% 23.7% -9.2% 12.3%
DC $27,383 $37,637 $45,243 $60,342 $61,209 $60,000 33.4% 1.4% -2.0% -0.6%
FL $1,141,899 $1,545,460 $1,804,514 $2,432,774 $2,650,729 $2,450,000 34.8% 9.0% -7.6% 0.7%
GA $199,698 $256,065 $244,788 $273,641 $309,368 $300,000 11.8% 13.1% -3.0% 9.6%
HI $63,580 $84,001 $107,466 $109,547 $104,970 $105,000 1.9% -4.2% 0.0% -4.2%
ID $91,178 $117,940 $99,399 $129,193 $162,901 $150,000 30.0% 26.1% -7.9% 16.1%
IL $262,876 $346,183 $332,219 $350,729 $347,460 $345,000 5.6% -0.9% -0.7% -1.6%
IN $92,823 $117,717 $109,833 $106,847 $110,892 $105,000 -2.7% 3.8% -5.3% -1.7%
IA $7,156 $9,702 $7,602 $8,522 $8,124 $8,000 12.1% -4.7% -1.5% -6.1%
KS $41,304 $60,040 $50,753 $48,552 $44,887 $40,000 -4.3% -7.5% -10.9% -17.6%
KY $51,205 $67,562 $60,850 $61,738 $63,573 $61,000 1.5% 3.0% -4.0% -1.2%
LA $71,845 $93,625 $91,745 $90,235 $113,957 $110,000 -1.6% 26.3% -3.5% 21.9%
ME $26,703 $37,208 $39,843 $37,235 $40,685 $40,000 -6.5% 9.3% -1.7% 7.4%
MD $196,011 $269,284 $313,222 $351,877 $398,637 $390,000 12.3% 13.3% -2.2% 10.8%
MA $254,691 $360,524 $305,969 $322,097 $274,016 $275,000 5.3% -14.9% 0.4% -14.6%
MI $397,894 $488,031 $447,618 $404,828 $401,543 $400,000 -9.6% -0.8% -0.4% -1.2%
MN $134,184 $180,396 $186,934 $165,899 $151,978 $150,000 -11.3% -8.4% -1.3% -9.6%
MS $33,370 $39,402 $37,740 $38,099 $45,611 $45,000 1.0% 19.7% -1.3% 18.1%
MO $56,194 $76,359 $72,021 $75,801 $80,565 $80,000 5.2% 6.3% -0.7% 5.5%
MT $44,256 $56,511 $51,135 $52,541 $54,025 $52,000 2.7% 2.8% -3.7% -1.0%
NE $42,412 $53,858 $55,737 $46,371 $43,627 $43,000 -16.8% -5.9% -1.4% -7.3%
NV $158,932 $223,657 $292,192 $323,941 $292,539 $290,000 10.9% -9.7% -0.9% -10.5%
NH $39,271 $57,404 $52,610 $49,987 $43,887 $44,000 -5.0% -12.2% 0.3% -12.0%
NJ $380,419 $511,081 $531,189 $565,998 $552,771 $525,000 6.6% -2.3% -5.0% -7.2%
NM $90,747 $118,323 $112,258 $122,273 $136,805 $130,000 8.9% 11.9% -5.0% 6.3%
NY $826,272 $1,081,421 $1,146,752 $1,220,447 $1,147,002 $1,000,000 6.4% -6.0% -12.8% -18.1%
NC $94,379 $125,191 $132,484 $144,844 $170,978 $170,000 9.3% 18.0% -0.6% 17.4%
ND $4,619 $5,989 $6,745 $5,091 $7,226 $7,000 -24.5% 41.9% -3.1% 37.5%
OH $345,720 $490,955 $455,474 $438,668 $430,783 $440,000 -3.7% -1.8% 2.1% 0.3%
OK $45,073 $55,226 $56,797 $59,149 $57,231 $58,000 4.1% -3.2% 1.3% -1.9%
OR $202,555 $277,635 $211,122 $251,932 $253,852 $250,000 19.3% 0.8% -1.5% -0.8%
PA $497,021 $669,751 $592,232 $578,740 $592,221 $585,000 -2.3% 2.3% -1.2% 1.1%
RI $32,593 $45,490 $41,983 $44,182 $45,048 $45,000 5.2% 2.0% -0.1% 1.9%
SC $79,265 $101,097 $105,085 $120,833 $147,369 $150,000 15.0% 22.0% 1.8% 24.1%
SD $13,420 $16,069 $17,213 $16,411 $19,529 $17,000 -4.7% 19.0% -12.9% 3.6%
TN $111,432 $140,336 $145,057 $144,856 $161,036 $165,000 -0.1% 11.2% 2.5% 13.9%
TX $1,261,715 $1,526,257 $1,491,295 $1,487,468 $1,650,624 $1,500,000 -0.3% 11.0% -9.1% 0.8%
UT $148,822 $197,493 $179,354 $214,641 $276,736 $280,000 19.7% 28.9% 1.2% 30.5%
VT $10,216 $13,556 $13,732 $14,904 $15,703 $15,000 8.5% 5.4% -4.5% 0.6%
VA $273,959 $374,527 $414,335 $466,161 $438,582 $425,000 12.5% -5.9% -3.1% -8.8%
WA $273,405 $355,736 $312,720 $354,886 $405,278 $395,000 13.5% 14.2% -2.5% 11.3%
WV $15,068 $18,813 $21,592 $23,139 $25,811 $25,000 7.2% 11.5% -3.1% 8.0%
WI $127,816 $169,029 $175,734 $154,609 $141,789 $140,000 -12.0% -8.3% -1.3% -9.4%
WY $22,619 $25,057 $25,128 $29,274 $29,241 $28,000 16.5% -0.1% -4.2% -4.4%
AS $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0        
GU $1,279 $1,310 $2,079 $2,669 $5,120 $5,000 28.4% 91.8% -2.3% 87.3%
PR $33,441 $38,921 $47,255 $47,964 $40,255 $40,000 1.5% -16.1% -0.6% -16.6%
US VI $1,059 $1,499 $2,489 $2,803 $3,058 $3,000 12.6% 9.1% -1.9% 7.0%
CA $80,831 $123,881 $164,197 $89,210 $81,230 $80,000 -45.7% -8.9% -1.5% -10.3%
Iss. $0 $0 $0 $0 $267 $0        
Agg.
OA
$2,347 $3,655 $10,032 $13,551 $30,851 $25,000 35.1% 127.7% -19.0% 84.5%
Total $11,991,848 $15,695,170 $15,534,884 $16,835,293 $16,752,237 $15,825,800 8.4% -0.5% -5.5% -6.0%


About Demotech, Inc.

Since 1985, Demotech, Inc., a Columbus, Ohio based financial analysis and actuarial services firm, has provided responsive services to address actuarial and financial analysis issues, whether the issues have been for a particular insurer or prevalent throughout the insurance industry.As the first company to have its rating process formally reviewed and accepted by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and HUD, Demotech has been leveling the playing field by offering Financial Stability Ratings® to insurers of all sizes. Demotech applies its broad actuarial and industry experience to its consulting services, which include pricing analysis and loss and loss adjustment expense reserve reviews.


Visit www.demotech.com for more information.


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